Physicians' perceptions of the value of prognostic models: the benefits and risks of prognostic confidence.

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

12-2015

Institution/Department

Geriatric Medicine; Maine Medical Center Research Institute; Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation

Journal Title

Health Expectations

MeSH Headings

Terminally Ill Patients; Physicians Evaluation; Human; Models, Statistical; Confidence Intervals; Qualitative Studies; Uncertainty; Semi-Structured Interview; Apache; Scales; Data Analysis; Audiorecording; Data Analysis Software; Specialization; Race Factors; Male; Female; Ethnic Groups; Geriatrics; Funding Source; Male; Female

Abstract

The article presents the study on the physicians' perception on the value of clinical prediction models (CPMs) in end-of-life (EOL) care. Qualitative individual interviews were designed to gather physicians' perceived CPM's benefits which include enhancement of prognostic confidence, enabling persuasion of patients during low prognostic and uncertainty, and increasing prognostic authority. Results were outlined and conclude the high valuation of CPMs among physicians on EOL care.

First Page

2266

Last Page

2278

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